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Consumer sector

SCD

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Nước giải khát Chương Dương
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Bia và đồ uốngCT
15.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
0
Current
15.000
Gap
-100.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SCD

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

17
Poor
Accrual Quality
44
Cash Conversion
17
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
14
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.80
Low Risk
DSRI
1.621
GMI
1.063
AQI
1.033
SGI
0.875
DEPI
0.959
SGAI
1.174
TATA
-0.161
LVGI
1.127

The forensic assessment of SCD reveals significant red flags indicating potential financial manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.8036, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The low earnings quality score of 17.1/100 further underscores concerns regarding the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.8036 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 17.1/100, with particularly low scores in receivables (0.0/100) and revenue (0.0/100), suggests poor earnings quality.
  • DSRI of 1.6212 indicates potential issues with inventory management, which could signal overstatement of revenue.
Positive Signals
  • SGI of 0.8753 suggests that sales growth is not overly aggressive, which could indicate a more stable revenue environment.
  • Top institutional ownership at 62.1% by a reputable entity may provide some level of oversight and stability.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with 62.1% held by a single institution, poses risks related to governance and decision-making, potentially limiting minority shareholders' influence.

Recommendation

Investors should approach SCD with caution, considering the high risk of earnings manipulation. It is advisable to conduct further due diligence and monitor any changes in financial reporting practices before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
-1.79
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.16
Negative
Composite
7
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-21.0%
Volatility
118.7%
Max Drawdown
-47.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-1.62P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.81
ROE68.4%
ROA-12.9%
EPS-9454.32
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin25.8%
Net Margin-50.1%
D/E-4.82
Current Ratio0.19
Rev Growth-12.6%
Profit Growth-22.5%
EV/EBITDA-66.80
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.5M
Charter Capital
85.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Bia và đồ uống
Sub-industry
Đồ uống & giải khát
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SCD — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước Giải khát Sài Gòn
Inst
62.1%
5.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Bảo hiểm Bảo Tín
Inst
12.9%
1.1 trieu
Đỗ Thuý Nhung
Indiv
7.0%
594.800
Quỹ tầm nhìn SSI
Inst
5.0%
424.220
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán BIDV
Inst
5.0%
423.960
Ftif - Templeton Frontier Markets Fund
Inst
4.9%
418.450
PYN Elite Fund
Inst
4.9%
415.600
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thanh Hải
Giám đốc Kinh doanh
Neo Hock Tai, Schubert
Tổng Giám đốc
Trịnh Huy Hóa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Bảo Văn
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
NEO GIM SIONG BENNETT
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Trung Kiên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Đức Hòa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Phước Thoại
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
NGUYỄN HOÀNG HIỆP
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Dung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thúy Phượng
Giám đốc Tài chính/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Tấn Lợi
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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