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Consumer sector

WSB

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Bia Sài Gòn - Miền Tây
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Bia và đồ uốngCT
56.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
110.514
Current
56.000
Gap
+97.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
83.38%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.21%
x
D/(D+E)
16.62%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF87.61B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
87.61B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
110.514
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — WSB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

65
Fair
Accrual Quality
96
Cash Conversion
90
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
26

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.90
Moderate
DSRI
1.582
GMI
0.863
AQI
1.412
SGI
1.002
DEPI
0.876
SGAI
1.028
TATA
-0.010
LVGI
0.958

WSB exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.9016, which is below the manipulation threshold. However, the earnings quality score of 65.3 suggests a reasonable level of earnings quality, though specific components raise concerns.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9016 indicates potential earnings manipulation as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • The receivables quality score is 0.0/100, indicating significant issues with accounts receivable management, which could suggest aggressive revenue recognition.
  • The revenue quality score of 25.9/100 is alarmingly low, indicating potential issues with the sustainability of revenue streams.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality score of 65.3/100 indicates a generally acceptable level of earnings quality.
  • The accrual quality score of 95.9/100 suggests that earnings are primarily derived from cash flows rather than accounting adjustments, which is a positive indicator.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with 86.3% held by Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước Giải khát Sài Gòn, which may lead to governance risks and limit minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor WSB's earnings reports and cash flow statements for signs of revenue manipulation. Consider a cautious approach to investment until further transparency and improvements in receivables management are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
5.82
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.10
Positive
Composite
68
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+10.2%
Volatility
49.9%
Max Drawdown
-26.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.33P/E
P/B1.04
P/S0.85
ROE12.6%
ROA10.5%
EPS6748.34
BVPS54148.57
Gross Margin11.1%
Net Margin10.2%
D/E0.19
Current Ratio3.97
Rev Growth0.2%
Profit Growth18.6%
EV/EBITDA4.89
Div Yield3.6%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
14.5M
Charter Capital
145.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Bia và đồ uống
Sub-industry
Sản xuất bia
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for WSB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước Giải khát Sài Gòn
Inst
86.3%
12.5 trieu
barca global master fund, l.p
Inst
4.9%
713.600
Robert Alexander Stone
Indiv
4.8%
700.500
Phạm Đình Hùng
Indiv
0.6%
90.000
Đỗ Văn Vẽ
Indiv
0.5%
75.000
Nguyễn Ngọc Huyện
Indiv
0.4%
60.000
afc vietnam fund
Inst
0.4%
51.200
Phạm Thị Hồng Hạnh
Indiv
0.3%
43.250
Nguyễn Thị Hoàng Lan
Indiv
0.1%
20.080
Board & Management
Phạm Đình Hùng0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Thị Mỹ Hồng
Kế toán trưởng
NEO GIM SIONG BENNETT
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Nguyên Trung
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Kim Cúc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Loan Anh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đoàn Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Đăng Khoa
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Giám đốc/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Văn Doanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Võ Văn Vân
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Đồi
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Minh Quân
Phó Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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