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Cyclicals sector

TIE

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần TIE
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Điện tử & Thiết bị điệnCT
3.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.589
Current
3.700
Gap
+51.1%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Ebitda Bvps Floor
BVPS
7.985
x
Discount
70%
=
Floor Value
7.985

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TIE

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

60
Fair
Accrual Quality
67
Cash Conversion
40
Revenue Quality
100

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2022

0.60
High Risk
DSRI
5.659
GMI
0.091
AQI
1.373
SGI
0.205
DEPI
0.633
SGAI
7.024
TATA
0.167
LVGI
0.606

The Beneish M-Score of 0.5974 indicates a significant risk of earnings manipulation, particularly highlighted by the high DSRI of 5.6591 and SGAI of 7.0244. Coupled with a low earnings quality score of 27.2/100, these factors raise substantial concerns about the integrity of TIE's financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 0.5974 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • DSRI of 5.6591 suggests excessive inventory accumulation relative to sales, which may indicate overstatement of revenue.
  • SGAI of 7.0244 indicates aggressive spending on sales and marketing, which could be unsustainable and may not translate to revenue growth.
Positive Signals
  • The company has a diverse ownership structure with multiple institutional investors, which can provide stability and oversight.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are primarily institutional, with the largest holding at 31.3%, which may mitigate risks associated with individual shareholder influence. However, concentrated ownership could also lead to potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on TIE's financial practices, particularly focusing on inventory management and revenue recognition. Consider monitoring future earnings reports closely for signs of improvement in earnings quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-2.14
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.49
Negative
Composite
44
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-34.0%
Volatility
123.7%
Max Drawdown
-78.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-1.43P/E
P/B0.43
P/S0.00
ROE-25.9%
ROA-19.0%
EPS-2370.60
BVPS7984.69
D/E0.41
Current Ratio1.35
Rev Growth-100.0%
Profit Growth50.5%
EV/EBITDA-1.65
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.6M
Charter Capital
95.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Điện tử & Thiết bị điện
Sub-industry
Hàng điện & điện tử
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TIE — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Sahabak
Inst
31.3%
3.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Sài Gòn Hưng Phú
Inst
24.0%
2.3 trieu
Công Ty CP Bất Động Sản Sài Gòn Đông Dương
Inst
8.9%
850.000
Lê Thị Thu Hà
Indiv
5.6%
538.500
VOF Investment Limited
Inst
4.6%
438.570
Công ty TNHH MTV Chứng Khoán Ngân hàng Số Vikki
Inst
3.3%
314.400
Board & Management
Lê Thị Thu Hà5.6%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thanh Vy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thúy Oanh
Kế toán trưởng/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Ngọc Hưng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Thị Kim Oanh
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thế Vinh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Thị Kim Hoa
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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