TYA
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TYA
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
The Beneish M-Score of -1.4755 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 30.5/100, particularly the cash conversion score of 0.0/100, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Earnings Quality Score of 30.5/100 indicates weak earnings quality, particularly with a cash conversion score of 0.0/100, suggesting that earnings may not be backed by cash flows.
- The SGI of 1.2610 indicates aggressive growth, which may not be sustainable and could lead to future earnings adjustments.
- The DSRI of 1.1492 is close to 1, indicating that accounts receivable are in line with sales, which is a positive sign.
- The GMI of 0.8915 suggests that gross margins are stable, which is a positive indicator for operational efficiency.
The high concentration of ownership with Taya Vietnam (Cayman) Holding Ltd. holding 80.0% may lead to governance risks, as minority shareholders have limited influence over corporate decisions.
Monitor cash flow closely, as the lack of cash conversion could indicate future liquidity issues. Consider diversifying investments to mitigate risks associated with high ownership concentration.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for TYA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate