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Utilities sector

UIC

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Phát triển Nhà và Đô thị IDICO
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
60.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
63.307
Current
60.200
Gap
+5.2%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend5.14%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS3.000
Payout ratio35.2%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
3.000
Base Growth
5.14%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
63.307
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — UIC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

62
Fair
Accrual Quality
84
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
28
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.71
Low Risk
DSRI
1.003
GMI
0.765
AQI
0.732
SGI
1.139
DEPI
0.881
SGAI
0.799
TATA
-0.041
LVGI
0.864

UIC's Beneish M-Score of -2.7108 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 62.4/100, particularly low revenue quality, raises concerns about the sustainability of earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality margin at 28.3/100 suggests significant issues with profitability sustainability.
  • Revenue quality score at 0.0/100 indicates potential revenue recognition issues or lack of genuine sales.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7108 suggests a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • High cash conversion rate of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

The significant ownership by Tổng Công ty IDICO at 64.5% suggests potential influence on corporate governance, which could lead to conflicts of interest, particularly in a state-owned enterprise context.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor UIC's revenue recognition practices and earnings quality metrics. Consider a cautious approach to investment until improvements in revenue quality and profitability margins are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
6.72
Safe Zone
Sharpe
1.08
Excellent
Composite
65
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+43.4%
Volatility
29.4%
Max Drawdown
-34.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.93P/E
P/B0.89
P/S0.15
ROE19.8%
ROA13.2%
EPS12281.88
BVPS68284.24
Gross Margin4.3%
Net Margin3.0%
D/E0.45
Current Ratio2.12
Rev Growth13.9%
Profit Growth77.7%
EV/EBITDA3.57
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.3M
Charter Capital
83.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for UIC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty IDICO
Inst
64.5%
5.4 trieu
KB Vietnam QVM Securities Master Fund
Inst
4.9%
389.430
Nguyễn Văn Thế Bảo
Indiv
1.4%
120.000
Nguyễn Thị Cúc Nhật
Indiv
1.2%
100.000
Nguyễn Hoàng Công
Indiv
1.2%
95.000
Vũ Công Khái
Indiv
1.2%
94.200
Phan Văn Quang
Indiv
1.0%
82.120
Đặng Việt Dũng
Indiv
1.0%
80.000
Nguyễn Thị Kim Dung
Indiv
0.9%
70.100
Trần Văn Phú
Indiv
0.6%
46.120
Phạm Thiếu Sơn
Indiv
0.5%
40.000
Nguyễn Văn Thịnh
Indiv
0.5%
40.000
Trần Thúy Hường
Indiv
0.3%
27.920
Đỗ Huy Thảo
Indiv
0.3%
25.120
Trịnh Xuân Tấn
Indiv
0.3%
24.000
Mai Thị Nguyệt
Indiv
0.3%
22.000
Nguyễn Mạnh Toại
Indiv
0.3%
20.600
Nguyễn Ngọc Minh
Indiv
0.1%
10.000
Board & Management
Trần Văn Phú0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Thịnh0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thuý Hường0.3%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Mai Thị Nguyệt0.3%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Ngọc Minh0.1%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Trần Cao Thắng
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hồng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Thị Hải Hà
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Phạm Quốc Vượng
Phó Giám đốc
Bùi Đức Minh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Đắc Mạnh
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Quốc Trí
Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Cao Nguyên
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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