VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Technology sector

VNB

Technology
Công ty Cổ phần Sách Việt Nam
Truyền thôngCT
14.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
11.850
Current
14.800
Gap
-19.9%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTTechnology
Defaulted to technology (no specific sector mapping found)
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
97.42%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.39%
x
D/(D+E)
2.58%
=
WACC
13.41%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default8.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E16x
4
Valuation
60%DCF Value
7.536
40%P/E Value
18.322
Blended Intrinsic
11.850
Value Decomposition
54%
46%
Explicit period (54%)Terminal value (46%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VNB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

27
Poor
Accrual Quality
60
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
81
Revenue Quality
1

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

3.58
High Risk
DSRI
7.231
GMI
0.976
AQI
0.963
SGI
0.938
DEPI
0.930
SGAI
1.240
TATA
0.100
LVGI
1.029

The Beneish M-Score of 3.5784 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation, particularly concerning the high DSRI of 7.2306, which suggests aggressive revenue recognition practices. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 27.3/100 reflects significant weaknesses in cash conversion and receivables management, raising further concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 3.5784 exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating potential earnings manipulation.
  • DSRI of 7.2306 suggests excessive growth in receivables compared to sales, which can indicate aggressive revenue recognition.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 27.3/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100, raises concerns about the sustainability of earnings.
Positive Signals
  • GMI of 0.9758 and AQI of 0.9629 indicate relatively stable gross margins and acceptable accrual quality, suggesting some operational strength.
  • The ownership structure shows a strong institutional presence with Tập đoàn Vingroup holding 65.3%, which may provide stability and governance oversight.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by Tập đoàn Vingroup (65.3%) may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced minority shareholder protections, especially given the involvement of state entities.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on VNB, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and revenue recognition practices. Monitoring upcoming financial disclosures for any signs of improvement in earnings quality metrics is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
23.38
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.02
Negative
Composite
37
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+16.8%
Volatility
35.4%
Max Drawdown
-33.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
13.16P/E
P/B0.92
P/S36.65
ROE7.2%
ROA7.1%
EPS1221.03
BVPS17453.05
Gross Margin42.5%
Net Margin278.6%
D/E0.03
Current Ratio6.09
Rev Growth-6.2%
Profit Growth10.4%
EV/EBITDA-57.47
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
67.9M
Charter Capital
679.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Truyền thông
Industry (ICB L3)
Truyền thông
Sub-industry
Sách, ấn bản & sản phẩm văn hóa
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VNB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Vingroup
Inst
65.3%
44.4 trieu
Bộ Văn Hóa, Thể Thao Và Du Lịch
State
10.0%
6.8 trieu
Tổng Công ty Đầu Tư Và Kinh Doanh Vốn Nhà Nước
State
10.0%
6.8 trieu
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Lan Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Trọng Tuấn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Lê Phương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Quyết Thắng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thanh Mai
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hồng Mai
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
CAO TIẾN BÌNH
Tổng Giám đốc
Đặng Xuân Ánh
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Thăng Long
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →