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Consumer sector

APC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Chiếu xạ An Phú
Y tế/Dược phẩmCT
6.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
27.403
Current
6.300
Gap
+335.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
69.98%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
30.02%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF41.13B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
41.13B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
27.403
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — APC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

51
Fair
Accrual Quality
61
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
92
Margin Stability
48
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.80
Low Risk
DSRI
1.046
GMI
1.376
AQI
1.006
SGI
0.879
DEPI
0.975
SGAI
1.133
TATA
-0.097
LVGI
0.908

APC exhibits several concerning indicators of earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -2.7954, which is significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 50.9/100, particularly low cash conversion metrics, raises further concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7954 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality score of 50.9/100, with a particularly low cash conversion score of 40.0/100, suggests poor quality of earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 91.7/100 indicates strong management of receivables, which could mitigate some liquidity concerns.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows significant concentration with the top three shareholders holding over 50% of the shares, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor APC's financial disclosures and cash flow statements. Consider waiting for improved earnings quality metrics and transparency before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.86
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.00
Positive
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-1.5%
Volatility
61.8%
Max Drawdown
-30.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-4.72P/E
P/B0.23
P/S1.10
ROE-4.8%
ROA-3.4%
EPS-1335.07
BVPS26982.11
Gross Margin17.6%
Net Margin-23.3%
D/E0.37
Current Ratio1.44
Rev Growth-12.1%
Profit Growth-28.8%
EV/EBITDA7.11
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
20.1M
Charter Capital
201.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Công nghệ sinh học
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for APC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Thái Sơn
Inst
22.2%
4.5 trieu
Torus Capital Investments Pte. Ltd.
Inst
14.3%
2.9 trieu
Võ Thùy Dương
Indiv
13.1%
1.5 trieu
Tống Thị Xuân Thi
Indiv
10.7%
1.3 trieu
Đào Ngọc Quốc
Indiv
4.9%
577.340
Võ Thái Sơn
Indiv
4.4%
871.100
Công ty CP Đầu Tư Toàn Việt
Inst
4.2%
500.310
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán MB
Inst
3.7%
440.309
Caledonia Investment PLC
Inst
2.9%
349.999
Lê Thị Mỹ Duyên
Indiv
2.7%
548.340
Võ Hữu Hiệp
Indiv
1.4%
168.880
Vương Đình Khoát
Indiv
0.8%
100.000
Trần Ngọc Thành
Indiv
0.8%
89.818
nguyen-thanh-lap
Indiv
0.7%
87.340
Lê Cảnh Dương
Indiv
0.4%
50.000
Nguyễn Đắc Đoàn
Indiv
0.3%
40.650
Lê Văn Mưng
Indiv
0.3%
34.989
Huỳnh Hồng Vĩnh
Indiv
0.3%
31.498
Huỳnh Thị Từ Ái
Indiv
0.2%
28.680
Nguyễn Đức Thắng
Indiv
0.2%
26.069
Phan Minh Anh Ngọc
Indiv
0.2%
22.890
Lê Việt Hà
Indiv
0.2%
19.820
Board & Management
Võ Thùy Dương40.5%
Tổng Giám đốc
Võ Thái Sơn4.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Lượng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Ngọc Hậu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Hoàng
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Huỳnh Thị Bích Loan
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Tuyết Nhung
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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