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Construction sector

CCT

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Cảng Cần Thơ
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
10.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.928
Current
10.500
Gap
-24.5%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
75.63%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.65%
x
D/(D+E)
24.37%
=
WACC
10.60%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
10.870
50%DCF Value
4.986
Blended Intrinsic
7.928
Value Decomposition
37%
63%
Explicit period (37%)Terminal value (63%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CCT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

76
Good
Accrual Quality
67
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
42
Revenue Quality
53

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.76
Low Risk
DSRI
0.664
GMI
1.362
AQI
0.873
SGI
1.218
DEPI
1.003
SGAI
0.730
TATA
-0.082
LVGI
0.904

CCT exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.7595, indicating a lower risk of earnings manipulation compared to the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal concerns, particularly in revenue and margin quality, which could signal underlying operational issues.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 76.1/100 indicates potential weaknesses in margin quality (42.1/100) and revenue quality (52.9/100), suggesting possible revenue recognition issues.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables quality (100.0/100) indicate effective cash management and collection processes.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming ownership by Tổng Công ty Hàng hải Việt Nam (99.0%) raises concerns about governance and minority shareholder rights, potentially limiting transparency and accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor CCT's operational performance and earnings quality metrics, particularly focusing on revenue recognition practices, while considering the implications of concentrated ownership.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.15
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.02
Negative
Composite
66
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+36.5%
Volatility
132.7%
Max Drawdown
-62.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
54.50P/E
P/B1.06
P/S1.52
ROE2.0%
ROA1.5%
EPS192.68
BVPS9914.20
Gross Margin14.9%
Net Margin2.8%
D/E0.31
Current Ratio2.83
Rev Growth21.8%
Profit Growth45.4%
EV/EBITDA12.45
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
28.5M
Charter Capital
275.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CCT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Hàng hải Việt Nam
Inst
99.0%
27.3 trieu
Board & Management
Lâm Tiến Dũng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Tạ Khả Duy
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Bá
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Thanh Tùng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lâm Trúc Sơn
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Tiến Công
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Võ Thành Được
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Thị Dung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Bá Ngân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Phương Hiền
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Hồng Hải
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Việt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Phương
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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