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Cyclicals sector

DZM

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Cơ điện Dzĩ An
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Công nghiệp nặngCT
2.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
0
Current
2.900
Gap
-100.0%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Ebitda
BVPS
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DZM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

47
Weak
Accrual Quality
90
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
14
Revenue Quality
62

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.57
Low Risk
DSRI
1.029
GMI
0.758
AQI
1.000
SGI
0.858
DEPI
1.064
SGAI
0.737
TATA
0.025
LVGI
1.100

DZM exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by its Beneish M-Score of -2.569, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 46.6/100, particularly low in cash conversion and receivables, further raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.569 indicates potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 46.6/100 suggests weak earnings quality, particularly with eq_cash_conv at 40.0/100 and eq_receivables at 0.2/100.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.0290 indicates inventory levels are in line with sales, which is a positive sign for operational efficiency.
  • Strong eq_accrual score of 89.8/100 suggests that the company is generating earnings that are not purely accounting-driven.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows a concentration of shares among a few individuals and institutions, with the largest shareholder holding only 10.8%. This could lead to potential governance issues and a lack of accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow and receivables management, before considering any investment in DZM.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-1.94
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.00
Negative
Composite
29
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
0.0%
Max Drawdown
0.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-18.58P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.79
ROE19.7%
ROA-1.4%
EPS-156.09
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin19.7%
Net Margin-4.2%
D/E-8.87
Current Ratio0.79
Rev Growth-14.2%
Profit Growth77.7%
EV/EBITDA-99.18
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.4M
Charter Capital
54.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Công nghiệp nặng
Sub-industry
Máy công nghiệp
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DZM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đặng Thu Hiền
Indiv
10.8%
582.100
Công ty Cổ Phần Quản Lý Và Phát Triển Bất Động Sản Conasi
Inst
7.4%
401.000
Công ty TNHH MTV Quản Lý Nợ Và Khai Thác Tài Sản - Ngân Hàng Thương Mại CP Việt Á
Inst
7.2%
390.000
Lê Tấn Mười Anh
Indiv
7.2%
390.000
Phamova Hoàng Anh
Indiv
5.6%
303.100
Nguyễn Đức Cường
Indiv
5.4%
289.301
Đặng Đình Hưng
Indiv
5.1%
278.123
Vũ Thị Thanh Bình
Indiv
5.0%
269.080
Nguyễn Ngọc Hưng
Indiv
4.6%
250.100
Nguyễn Quang Trung
Indiv
4.2%
224.400
Bùi Thắng Mỹ
Indiv
2.7%
148.000
Nguyễn Xuân Thành
Indiv
2.0%
109.385
Võ Anh Thụy
Indiv
1.9%
103.426
Phùng Minh Tuấn
Indiv
0.3%
16.130
Vũ Ngọc Thành
Indiv
0.3%
14.176
Nguyễn Quốc Công
Indiv
0.2%
13.200
Trần Thị Mỹ
Indiv
0.2%
12.400
Board & Management
Đặng Đình Hưng5.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Quang Trung4.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Thị Phương Thảo
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Văn Nhân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Vũ Minh Nhẫn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Ngọc Minh Danh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đào Ngọc Phương Nam
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Đăng Bảo
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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