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Construction sector

HU1

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Xây dựng HUD1
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
6.280
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
280.941
Current
6.280
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
22.71%
+
Kd(1-t)
3.57%
x
D/(D+E)
77.29%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
-5.353
50%DCF Value
280.941
Blended Intrinsic
280.941
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HU1

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

49
Weak
Accrual Quality
15
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.22
Moderate
DSRI
0.837
GMI
0.982
AQI
1.087
SGI
1.270
DEPI
0.521
SGAI
1.187
TATA
0.051
LVGI
1.029

The Beneish M-Score of -2.2226 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 39.9/100, particularly the cash conversion score of 0.0/100, raises concerns about the sustainability of earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 39.9/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100, indicating severe issues in converting earnings to cash.
  • SGI of 1.2703 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by underlying fundamentals.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.2226, which is below the manipulation threshold, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • High receivables score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of receivables, which is a positive sign for liquidity.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Vũ Nhật Tuấn, holds a significant 51.0% stake, which may lead to potential governance risks and lack of minority shareholder protection.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and consider the high ownership concentration as a risk factor. A cautious approach is advised until earnings quality improves.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.78
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.17
Negative
Composite
64
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+6.8%
Volatility
74.1%
Max Drawdown
-29.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
15.61P/E
P/B0.40
P/S0.15
ROE2.6%
ROA0.6%
EPS371.47
BVPS14350.31
Gross Margin6.6%
Net Margin0.9%
D/E3.40
Current Ratio1.04
Rev Growth68.8%
Profit Growth-3.5%
EV/EBITDA23.96
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.0M
Charter Capital
100.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HU1 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Vũ Nhật Tuấn
Indiv
51.0%
5.1 trieu
Nguyễn Duy Chính
Indiv
5.3%
526.759
nguyen-thi-mai-lan
Indiv
4.8%
478.020
Nguyễn Văn Dân
Indiv
0.6%
63.582
Dương Tất Khiêm
Indiv
0.6%
59.881
Ngô Quang Đạo
Indiv
0.4%
43.436
Phan Tiến Long
Indiv
0.4%
40.829
nguyen-viet-phuong
Indiv
0.3%
30.113
nguyen-dinh-thang
Indiv
0.3%
26.445
nguyen-huy-hung
Indiv
0.2%
17.540
nguyen-dinh-hoc
Indiv
0.2%
17.400
Đỗ Thị Thanh Vân
Indiv
0.1%
12.708
Board & Management
Dương Tất Khiêm0.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Quang Đạo0.4%
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Việt Phương0.3%
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lương Công Tú
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mạnh Toàn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thanh Hải
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Thơm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Phương Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hồng Sơn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Mỹ Dung
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Bùi Thái Khanh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
TRẦN VŨ ANH
Phó Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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