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Cyclicals sector

PTV

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Thương mại Dầu khí
Dầu khí/Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khíCT
6.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.090
Current
6.700
Gap
+5.8%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTDầu khíCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Dầu khí" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Equity Value Bvps Floor
BVPS
10.129
x
Discount
70%
=
Floor Value
10.129

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PTV

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

12
Poor
Accrual Quality
0
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-0.50
High Risk
DSRI
4.150
GMI
0.175
AQI
0.398
SGI
0.148
DEPI
1.082
SGAI
6.463
TATA
0.405
LVGI
2.357

PTV exhibits significant red flags indicating potential financial manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -0.5021, which is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 12.0/100 reflects severe deficiencies in earnings quality metrics, particularly in accruals and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • DSRI of 4.1496 indicates a significant increase in receivables relative to sales, suggesting potential revenue recognition issues.
  • SGAI of 6.4631 shows excessive growth in selling, general, and administrative expenses, which may indicate inflated expenses or mismanagement.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 12.0/100, with 0.0 in eq_accrual and eq_receivables, highlights severe concerns regarding the reliability of reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • The presence of institutional investors such as Tổng Công ty Dầu Việt Nam holding 29.0% may provide some level of oversight and governance.
  • The company has a diverse ownership structure with multiple institutional stakeholders, which could potentially mitigate risks associated with individual ownership.
Ownership Risk

The concentration of ownership among a few institutional investors poses a risk of collusion or lack of accountability, particularly in a market where state-owned enterprises (SOEs) may influence operations.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering an investment in PTV, focusing on governance practices and potential corrective measures for financial reporting.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.41
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.69
Positive
Composite
40
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+17.5%
Volatility
93.6%
Max Drawdown
-39.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-24.61P/E
P/B0.37
P/S0.63
ROE-1.5%
ROA-0.5%
EPS-153.40
BVPS10129.22
Gross Margin20.6%
Net Margin-2.5%
D/E2.56
Current Ratio1.28
Rev Growth-85.2%
Profit Growth-1358.4%
EV/EBITDA-130.97
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
20.0M
Charter Capital
200.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Dầu khí
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khí
Sub-industry
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Dầu khí
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PTV — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Dầu Việt Nam
Inst
29.0%
5.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Xây dựng Tràng An
Inst
23.1%
4.6 trieu
Dương Công Ái
Indiv
16.9%
3.4 trieu
Công ty TNHH Petunia
Inst
5.0%
999.300
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Blue Sky Việt Nam
Inst
5.0%
995.300
Board & Management
Nguyễn Ngọc Anh
Kế toán trưởng
Huỳnh Minh Triết
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Quang Thuận
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Thị Bích Hà
Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Đức Chính
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Khánh Hưng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Thu Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Mạnh Hùng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Việt Đức
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Hoài Nam
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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