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Utilities sector

PEG

Utilities
Tổng Công ty Thương mại Kỹ thuật và Đầu tư - Công ty Cổ phần
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
4.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4
Current
4.600
Gap
-99.9%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default2.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:EPS default
DPS0
Payout ratio50.0%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
0
Base Growth
2.00%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
4
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PEG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
87
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
13

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.33
Moderate
DSRI
1.797
GMI
0.712
AQI
0.940
SGI
0.758
DEPI
0.964
SGAI
1.214
TATA
-0.032
LVGI
1.000

The Beneish M-Score of -2.331 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, but the earnings quality score of 39.9/100 reveals significant weaknesses in revenue recognition and margin quality. The high institutional ownership suggests stability, yet it raises concerns about potential lack of accountability and transparency.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 39.9/100, particularly low scores in eq_receivables (0.0/100) and eq_margin (0.0/100) indicate potential issues in revenue recognition and profitability.
  • DSRI of 1.7973, above the threshold of 1.5, suggests potential overstatement of receivables.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.331 is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • High eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100 suggests strong cash conversion relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The dominant ownership by Tổng Công ty Dầu Việt Nam at 94.8% may lead to a lack of independent oversight, increasing the risk of management entrenchment and potential misalignment with minority shareholder interests.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor earnings quality metrics and consider engaging with management regarding revenue recognition practices. A cautious approach is advised until improvements in earnings quality are demonstrated.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.27
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.45
Negative
Composite
18
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-14.9%
Volatility
116.8%
Max Drawdown
-63.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7016.48P/E
P/B1.30
P/S0.15
ROE0.0%
ROA0.0%
EPS0.48
BVPS2554.19
Gross Margin4.7%
Net Margin0.0%
D/E0.86
Current Ratio0.85
Rev Growth-24.2%
Profit Growth100.3%
EV/EBITDA39.04
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
231.9M
Charter Capital
2600.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Phân phối xăng dầu & khí đốt
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PEG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Dầu Việt Nam
Inst
94.8%
246.4 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Xăng dầu Dầu khí Hà Nội
Inst
0.1%
378.768
Công ty Cổ phần Xăng dầu Dầu khí Sài Gòn
Inst
0.1%
338.897
Công ty Cổ Phần Xăng Dầu Dầu Khí Vũng Tàu
Inst
0.1%
279.092
Công ty Cổ Phần Bất Động Sản Và Kỹ Thuật Xăng Dầu
Inst
0.1%
249.189
Board & Management
NGUYỄN THANH HẢI
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Lịch
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Diệp Thu Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vương Bích Tuyền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Dương Thị Loan
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Tuấn Tú
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Văn Dưỡng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Anh Tuấn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Minh Hiệp
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Kim Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thanh Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Computed 12/04/2026
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