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Construction sector

VC9

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xây dựng số 9 - VC9
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
4.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
3.974
Current
4.500
Gap
-11.7%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
16.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
83.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.42%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
5.769
50%DCF Value
2.179
Blended Intrinsic
3.974
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VC9

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

78
Good
Accrual Quality
97
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
58
Revenue Quality
4

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.27
Moderate
DSRI
0.777
GMI
1.342
AQI
1.165
SGI
1.014
DEPI
2.292
SGAI
0.775
TATA
-0.008
LVGI
0.984

VC9 exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.2693, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 78.4/100 reveals weaknesses in revenue recognition, which could pose risks in the context of Vietnam's accounting practices.

Red Flags
  • The eq_revenue score of 3.5/100 indicates significant concerns regarding revenue recognition, suggesting potential issues with revenue reporting.
  • The DEPI ratio of 2.2921 is notably high, indicating that the company may be recognizing revenue prematurely, which could lead to future earnings adjustments.
Positive Signals
  • The earnings quality score of 78.4/100, particularly strong eq_accrual (96.9/100) and eq_cash_conv (100.0/100), suggests that cash flows are being well managed and that accruals are not excessively aggressive.
  • The low DSRI of 0.7770 indicates that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales, which is a positive sign for operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows a high concentration with Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Và Xây Dựng Tng holding 53.1%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider a deeper analysis of operational cash flows before making investment decisions. Engaging with management on their revenue policies may provide further clarity.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.21
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.58
Negative
Composite
48
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-19.6%
Volatility
36.7%
Max Drawdown
-27.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
79.70P/E
P/B1.01
P/S0.27
ROE1.3%
ROA0.1%
EPS47.68
BVPS3778.84
Gross Margin7.0%
Net Margin0.3%
D/E10.06
Current Ratio1.03
Rev Growth1.4%
Profit Growth2.7%
EV/EBITDA17.53
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
17.0M
Charter Capital
170.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VC9 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Và Xây Dựng Tng
Inst
53.1%
6.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý quỹ đầu tư MB
Inst
4.8%
562.000
Nguyễn Tam Công
Indiv
4.2%
489.635
Bùi Huy Thái
Indiv
4.0%
472.203
Phạm Minh Tuấn
Indiv
3.9%
456.056
Nguyễn Thị Đức Vinh
Indiv
3.5%
600.000
Phạm Văn Hải
Indiv
1.2%
143.944
Lại Văn Thăng
Indiv
0.5%
53.006
Nguyễn Khắc Đạt
Indiv
0.4%
46.707
Lê Văn Cầu
Indiv
0.3%
37.176
Bùi Minh Trường
Indiv
0.2%
26.426
Phạm Ngọc Hùng
Indiv
0.2%
25.285
nguyen-tien-nam
Indiv
0.1%
18.568
Đặng Thanh Huấn
Indiv
0.1%
15.150
Board & Management
Nguyễn Tam Công4.2%
Phó Phòng Tài chính Kế toán
Phạm Ngọc Hùng0.2%
Phó phòng Đầu tư
Đoàn Ngọc Ba
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Chu Tùng Hiếu
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hữu Tới
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Xuân Toàn
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán/Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Bùi Mạnh Tưởng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Thiệu Bảo
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
TRẦN THẠCH TÂN
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Trung Hà
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Minh Thắng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thái Dương
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Chu Quang Minh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Văn Mạnh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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