VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Construction sector

SBG

Construction
Công ty Cổ Phần Tập Đoàn Cơ Khí Công Nghệ Cao Siba
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Hàng công nghiệpCT
11.550
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4.892
Current
11.550
Gap
-57.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
39.84%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.59%
x
D/(D+E)
60.16%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.89%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
5.532
50%DCF Value
4.252
Blended Intrinsic
4.892
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SBG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

28
Poor
Accrual Quality
88
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
16
Revenue Quality
22

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.85
Moderate
DSRI
1.487
GMI
0.399
AQI
3.970
SGI
0.514
DEPI
0.952
SGAI
2.574
TATA
0.030
LVGI
1.380

SBG exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly a Beneish M-Score of -1.8451, indicating potential earnings manipulation. The low earnings quality score of 27.8/100, alongside high accruals and poor cash conversion, raises significant red flags regarding the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8451, exceeding the manipulation threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 27.8/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100 and receivables at 0.0/100, indicating severe issues with cash flow and revenue recognition.
  • SGAI at 2.5738 suggests aggressive spending on sales and marketing, which may not translate into revenue growth.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.4865 indicates that inventory levels are manageable relative to sales, which may suggest operational efficiency.
  • DEPI of 0.9521 shows that the company is not overly aggressive in its depreciation policies, which could imply conservative asset valuation.
Ownership Risk

The dominant ownership by Siba Holdings at 55.6% may lead to potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes that could affect minority shareholders. The concentration of ownership raises concerns about governance and transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should approach SBG with caution, closely monitoring future earnings reports and cash flow statements. It may be prudent to consider divesting or holding off on new investments until clearer signals of financial stability and governance improvements are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.79
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.13
Positive
Composite
34
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+22.3%
Volatility
29.3%
Max Drawdown
-19.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
16.88P/E
P/B1.05
P/S0.40
ROE6.4%
ROA3.0%
EPS767.27
BVPS12300.71
Gross Margin7.4%
Net Margin2.4%
D/E1.51
Current Ratio1.11
Rev Growth-48.6%
Profit Growth-11.8%
EV/EBITDA13.57
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
50.0M
Charter Capital
500.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng công nghiệp
Sub-industry
Công nghiệp phức hợp
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SBG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Siba Holdings
Inst
55.6%
27.8 trieu
Lê Thị Bích Liên
Indiv
10.0%
0
nguyen-van-duc
Indiv
4.6%
2.3 trieu
Phan Hồng Vân
Indiv
3.0%
760.000
Trương Mạnh Linh
Indiv
0.2%
107.800
Nguyễn Văn Phú
Indiv
0.2%
110.100
Hà Thị Ngọc Sơn
Indiv
0.1%
26.000
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →