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Real Estate sector

HRB

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Harec Đầu tư và Thương Mại
Bất động sảnCT
40.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
24.359
Current
40.000
Gap
-39.1%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
81.76%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.22%
x
D/(D+E)
18.24%
=
WACC
12.25%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.96%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
24.059
60%DCF Value
24.559
Blended Intrinsic
24.359
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HRB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

67
Fair
Accrual Quality
79
Cash Conversion
49
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.12
Moderate
DSRI
1.098
GMI
1.003
AQI
0.984
SGI
1.036
DEPI
1.000
SGAI
1.059
TATA
0.054
LVGI
0.992

The Beneish M-Score of -2.1193 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 66.9 suggests moderate concerns, particularly with cash conversion metrics, which could impact liquidity and operational efficiency.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 49.2 for cash conversion indicates potential liquidity issues.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0 suggests significant concerns regarding revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.1193 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • High receivables score of 100.0 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with the top shareholder holding 40%, may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and revenue recognition practices. Consider a cautious approach to investment until improvements in earnings quality and liquidity are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
8.82
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.75
Negative
Composite
36
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-26.6%
Volatility
0.0%
Max Drawdown
-36.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
13.39P/E
P/B2.04
P/S6.20
ROE17.0%
ROA13.9%
EPS3584.84
BVPS21083.79
Gross Margin89.1%
Net Margin51.7%
D/E0.22
Current Ratio8.91
Rev Growth3.6%
Profit Growth-2.6%
EV/EBITDA11.25
Div Yield7.1%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.3M
Charter Capital
63.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HRB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước giải khát Hà Nội
Inst
40.0%
2.5 trieu
Phan Huy Tý
Indiv
23.3%
1.5 trieu
Hoàng Quang Tuấn
Indiv
20.0%
1.3 trieu
Hoàng Quang Thành
Indiv
7.0%
444.641
nguyen-lan-huong
Indiv
1.1%
67.195
Phan Vũ Hương Giang
Indiv
0.8%
49.085
Board & Management
Phan Huy Tý23.3%
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Quang Thành7.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Lan Hương1.1%
Phó Giám đốc/Kế toán trưởng
Vũ Đình Đức
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Tố Dung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Thị Lộc
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Xuân Dũng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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