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Consumer sector

BQB

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Bia Hà Nội - Quảng Bình
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Bia và đồ uốngCT
3.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
8.017
Current
3.600
Gap
+122.7%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
65.29%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
34.71%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF2.47B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
2.47B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
8.017
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BQB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

54
Fair
Accrual Quality
67
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
59
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.17
Low Risk
DSRI
0.700
GMI
0.973
AQI
0.866
SGI
0.957
DEPI
0.839
SGAI
1.052
TATA
-0.083
LVGI
0.653

BQB exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.167, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 53.5 suggests some concerns, particularly in revenue and margin metrics, which could indicate potential underlying issues.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 53.5 indicates moderate risk, particularly with revenue and margin metrics at 0.0/100, suggesting potential revenue recognition issues.
  • SGAI at 1.0515 indicates higher selling, general, and administrative expenses relative to sales, which could pressure profitability.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.167 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước giải khát Hà Nội at 62.1% indicates potential influence over strategic decisions, which could lead to conflicts of interest or lack of minority shareholder protections.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor revenue recognition practices closely and consider the implications of high SG&A expenses. A cautious approach is advised, focusing on cash flow metrics and potential operational improvements.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.03
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.03
Positive
Composite
64
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+16.2%
Volatility
79.0%
Max Drawdown
-28.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
416.89P/E
P/B0.80
P/S0.40
ROE0.2%
ROA0.1%
EPS8.78
BVPS4568.41
Gross Margin14.1%
Net Margin0.1%
D/E0.33
Current Ratio2.46
Rev Growth-4.3%
Profit Growth154.3%
EV/EBITDA3.84
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.8M
Charter Capital
58.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Bia và đồ uống
Sub-industry
Sản xuất bia
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BQB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước giải khát Hà Nội
Inst
62.1%
3.6 trieu
Trần Thanh Hùng
Indiv
5.5%
320.260
Nguyễn Minh Tuấn
Indiv
1.9%
109.860
Nguyễn Thanh Lộc
Indiv
0.9%
50.350
Nguyễn Thị Nam Hương
Indiv
0.5%
29.650
Phạm Trung Kiên
Indiv
0.5%
28.300
Nguyễn Thị Bích Thủy
Indiv
0.3%
18.700
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thanh Lộc0.9%
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Nam Hương0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Bích Thủy0.3%
Phó Giám đốc
Trương Thị Bảo Vân
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Thanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Quang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Minh Phương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Minh Thế
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Trường Thắng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Bích Thủy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Đức Giang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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