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Construction sector

CGV

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vinaceglass
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
3.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4.650
Current
3.200
Gap
+45.3%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
9.301
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
9.301

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CGV

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

41
Weak
Accrual Quality
82
Cash Conversion
1
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
3
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

3.32
High Risk
DSRI
1.373
GMI
4.285
AQI
0.867
SGI
5.079
DEPI
1.080
SGAI
0.244
TATA
0.045
LVGI
1.638

The Beneish M-Score of 3.3234 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation, significantly surpassing the threshold of -1.78. Coupled with a low Earnings Quality Score of 41.1/100, CGV exhibits concerning financial health, particularly in cash conversion and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 3.3234 indicates likely manipulation, well above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 41.1/100, with an alarming eq_cash_conv of 0.8/100 and eq_revenue of 0.0/100, suggesting poor cash flow management and revenue recognition issues.
  • SGI of 5.0785 indicates excessive sales growth that may not be sustainable or accurately reflected in earnings.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.3728 suggests that inventory levels are relatively in line with sales, indicating no immediate inventory-related red flags.
  • AQI of 0.8670, while low, indicates some level of accrual quality that could be monitored for improvement.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented with significant individual shareholders, which may lead to governance issues and potential conflicts of interest. The largest shareholder holds only 15.1%, indicating a lack of control that could affect decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor CGV's financial disclosures for signs of manipulation. It may be prudent to wait for improved earnings quality metrics and clearer revenue recognition practices before considering an investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.33
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.12
Positive
Composite
53
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+14.3%
Volatility
86.7%
Max Drawdown
-26.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.66P/E
P/B0.34
P/S0.46
ROE6.2%
ROA5.0%
EPS556.64
BVPS9300.89
Gross Margin7.9%
Net Margin8.1%
D/E0.32
Current Ratio1.89
Rev Growth407.9%
Profit Growth211.0%
EV/EBITDA-101.15
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.5M
Charter Capital
95.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CGV — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Trần Lê Dũng
Indiv
15.1%
1.4 trieu
Lưu Quang Hưng
Indiv
12.1%
1.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Hà Quang
Inst
7.1%
674.636
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước giải khát Hà Nội
Inst
6.0%
570.000
Lê Quang Tuấn
Indiv
5.6%
528.169
Phan Ngọc Anh
Indiv
5.0%
478.036
Nguyễn Miên Tiến
Indiv
4.9%
465.000
Huỳnh Thị Kim Hoa
Indiv
4.6%
436.430
Trần Huỳnh Quang
Indiv
3.5%
327.526
Phan Thanh Liêm
Indiv
1.4%
131.250
Nguyễn Ngọc Huy
Indiv
1.4%
127.789
Nguyễn Ngọc Cường
Indiv
0.9%
86.414
Nguyễn Văn Trung
Indiv
0.1%
11.058
Nguyễn Thị Bích Hạnh
Indiv
0.1%
10.761
Board & Management
Trần Lê Dũng15.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Quang Tuấn5.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Ngọc Anh5.0%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Thị Kim Hoa4.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Huỳnh Quang3.5%
Tổng Giám đốc/Giám đốc điều hành/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Thanh Liêm1.4%
Giám đốc điều hành
Nguyễn Ngọc Huy1.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Cường0.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Trung0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Mai Xuân Hiệt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hồng Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Phượng
Giám đốc điều hành
Ngô Ngọc Lan
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đào Nguyễn Minh Chi
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Phúc Thướng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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