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Construction sector

CT3

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Xây dựng công trình 3
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
5.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.662
Current
5.900
Gap
+12.9%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
13.324
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
13.324

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CT3

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

37
Weak
Accrual Quality
87
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
100

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.20
Moderate
DSRI
1.256
GMI
0.920
AQI
1.285
SGI
0.782
DEPI
1.250
SGAI
1.113
TATA
0.033
LVGI
0.980

CT3 exhibits several concerning indicators of earnings quality and potential manipulation, as reflected in its Beneish M-Score of -2.1966, which suggests a likelihood of financial statement manipulation. The company's earnings quality score of 36.7/100, particularly low cash conversion and receivables metrics, raises further concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.1966 indicates potential earnings manipulation, exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 36.7/100, with cash conversion and receivables both at 0.0/100, signaling severe issues in cash flow management and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Revenue quality score of 100.0/100 indicates strong revenue generation capabilities, suggesting that sales are not fabricated.
  • Institutional ownership is significant, with Tổng Công ty Đường sắt Việt Nam holding 24.7%, which may provide some level of oversight.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is dominated by institutional investors, which can provide stability; however, the concentration of ownership may lead to governance issues and reduced accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor CT3's financial disclosures and earnings quality metrics. It may be prudent to wait for improved transparency and stronger cash flow indicators before considering an investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.54
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.34
Negative
Composite
29
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-27.4%
Volatility
127.5%
Max Drawdown
-55.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
30.88P/E
P/B0.41
P/S0.19
ROE1.3%
ROA0.2%
EPS178.09
BVPS13323.76
Gross Margin17.3%
Net Margin0.6%
D/E4.40
Current Ratio1.00
Rev Growth-21.8%
Profit Growth12.5%
EV/EBITDA6.64
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.8M
Charter Capital
88.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CT3 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Đường sắt Việt Nam
Inst
24.7%
2.2 trieu
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư - Xây Dựng - Thương Mại - Sản Xuất CNC
Inst
17.4%
1.5 trieu
Vương Tấn Hát
Indiv
8.0%
705.743
Trần Nhật Trung
Indiv
4.8%
421.755
Lê Hồng Chiến
Indiv
3.7%
293.000
Lê Thị Xảo
Indiv
2.8%
250.000
Đặng Xuân Trường
Indiv
1.6%
99.453
nguyen-thu-huong
Indiv
1.1%
95.187
Lê Văn Nhương
Indiv
1.1%
86.534
Nguyễn Đức Thuận
Indiv
0.8%
71.514
Trần Anh Thuần
Indiv
0.7%
53.485
Nguyễn Xuân Nguyên
Indiv
0.6%
35.536
Trần Quốc Chí
Indiv
0.5%
42.887
Nguyễn Đức Soát
Indiv
0.5%
29.276
Phạm Công Sơn
Indiv
0.4%
32.203
Nguyễn Văn Long
Indiv
0.3%
17.350
Vũ Văn Cương
Indiv
0.3%
22.853
Đặng Quang Thịnh
Indiv
0.2%
21.589
Nguyễn Kim Chinh
Indiv
0.1%
12.000
Board & Management
Trần Quốc Đoàn3.4%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Nhương1.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đức Thuận0.8%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Văn Cường0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đặng Quang Thịnh0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Kim Chinh0.1%
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Minh Hùng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Công May
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Quang Sơn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Ngọc Côi
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Vũ Bình Thiên
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Việt Dũng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Công Hòa
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Văn Thúy
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thanh Tiến
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hữu Khánh Nguyên
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Quốc Hiếu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quang Vinh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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