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Construction sector

DDM

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Hàng hải Đông Đô
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
2.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
0
Current
2.100
Gap
-100.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Enterprise Value
BVPS
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DDM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

21
Poor
Accrual Quality
27
Cash Conversion
13
Receivables
53
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2022

-2.83
Low Risk
DSRI
0.727
GMI
0.763
AQI
1.330
SGI
1.173
DEPI
0.825
SGAI
0.937
TATA
-0.055
LVGI
0.976

DDM exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.8271, well below the manipulation threshold, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 62.0 suggests some concerns, particularly with revenue and margin metrics, which could signal underlying operational issues.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality metrics show a score of 0.0/100 for both eq_margin and eq_revenue, indicating potential issues with profitability and revenue recognition.
  • The SGI of 1.1728 suggests that sales growth is outpacing overall economic growth, which may not be sustainable.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.7266 indicates that the company's inventory is well-managed compared to sales, reducing the risk of overstatement.
  • A cash conversion score of 100.0/100 reflects strong cash flow management, which is a positive indicator in the Vietnamese market context.
Ownership Risk

The significant ownership by Tổng Công ty Hàng hải Việt Nam (49.0%) indicates a strong institutional backing, which can provide stability. However, the concentration of ownership raises concerns about potential governance issues and minority shareholder rights.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DDM's operational performance and revenue recognition practices, particularly given the low earnings quality scores. Consider a cautious approach to investment until clearer trends in profitability and governance are established.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-5.05
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.48
Positive
Composite
34
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+83.3%
Volatility
121.9%
Max Drawdown
-50.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
0.24P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.10
ROE-11.7%
ROA23.5%
EPS7310.60
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin-6.2%
Net Margin41.3%
D/E-1.47
Current Ratio0.14
Rev Growth-16.4%
Profit Growth422.2%
EV/EBITDA299.91
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
12.2M
Charter Capital
1224.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Vận tải Thủy
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DDM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Hàng hải Việt Nam
Inst
49.0%
6.0 trieu
Nguyễn Duy Luân
Indiv
12.2%
1.5 trieu
Vũ Thị Thu Hiền
Indiv
7.8%
948.790
Nguyễn Quốc Khánh
Indiv
7.2%
876.400
Nguyễn Thị Hà Phương
Indiv
3.6%
446.090
nguyen-thi-mai-phuong
Indiv
2.8%
337.100
Tạ Hòa Bình
Indiv
0.5%
59.750
Bùi Nhật Truyền
Indiv
0.4%
46.139
Board & Management
Nguyễn Duy Luân12.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quốc Khánh7.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Nhật Truyền0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Việt Hùng
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Bùi Đình Hưởng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Văn Nghi
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hằng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Cường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Loan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Sỹ Khánh
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Nguyễn Ngọc Thùy Dung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Ngọc Ánh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Minh Hưng
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Tịnh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
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