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Construction sector

VSG

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Container Phía Nam
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
1.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
0
Current
1.400
Gap
-100.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

21
Poor
Accrual Quality
0
Cash Conversion
23
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
100

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-6.68
Low Risk
DSRI
1.734
GMI
0.108
AQI
1.142
SGI
0.350
DEPI
0.972
SGAI
3.111
TATA
-0.718
LVGI
1.493

VSG exhibits significant red flags indicating potential financial manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -6.6848, well below the threshold of -1.78. The company's low earnings quality score of 20.7/100, particularly concerning accruals and receivables, further underscores the risk of inflated financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -6.6848 indicates strong likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 20.7/100, with eq_accrual and eq_receivables both at 0.0/100, suggests poor earnings quality.
  • SGAI of 3.1114 indicates excessive selling, which may reflect underlying issues in revenue sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Revenue quality score of 100.0/100 indicates strong revenue generation capabilities.
  • Low SGI of 0.3500 suggests that sales growth is not overly aggressive compared to prior periods.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated, with the top two institutional shareholders holding a combined 54.9%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering VSG, particularly focusing on cash flow and operational performance metrics to validate financial health.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-19.79
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.61
Negative
Composite
4
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-44.0%
Volatility
122.5%
Max Drawdown
-55.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-0.21P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.75
ROE9.5%
ROA-45.1%
EPS-6319.58
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin72.7%
Net Margin-366.6%
D/E-1.16
Current Ratio0.11
Rev Growth-60.1%
Profit Growth-85.8%
EV/EBITDA-16.36
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
11.0M
Charter Capital
110.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VSG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Hàng hải Việt Nam
Inst
30.0%
3.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Mua Bán Nợ Phương Đông
Inst
24.9%
2.8 trieu
Vũ Khắc Tuấn
Indiv
5.0%
553.470
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý Quỹ Tín Phát
Inst
4.7%
523.900
Evergreen International S.A
Indiv
3.3%
360.000
Nguyễn Hữu Chiến
Indiv
0.6%
63.597
Nguyễn Xuân Hòa
Indiv
0.5%
55.195
Hoàng Đình Quảng
Indiv
0.5%
54.637
Nguyễn Sĩ Sênh
Indiv
0.4%
41.467
Huỳnh Kim Tiến
Indiv
0.4%
40.000
Nguyễn Mạnh Cường
Indiv
0.1%
15.784
Nguyễn Thượng Bồng
Indiv
0.1%
13.567
Board & Management
Phạm Thị Thu Hằng
Kế toán trưởng
Vũ Thế Quang
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Liều Văn Phụng
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Thị Hải Lý
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Tuấn Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Tạ Thị Thu Hằng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thùy Khanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Duy Tuyến
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Minh Hoàng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Đắc Nhân
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Hạnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Tiến Định
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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